NWS Wilmington, OH Office (ILN)
Area Forecast Discussion/SKEW-T
FXUS61 KILN 080736 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 236 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Dry weather settles in area wide through Saturday as high pressure moves through the Great Lakes region. The next chance for rain will arrive Saturday night into Sunday as an area of low pressure tracks through the region. Above normal temperatures are expected for the foreseeable future. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/... Some patchy shallow fog has formed about the area, although none of it is particularly cohesive or dense at this point. With the maintenance of some very light northerly sfc flow, it is not expected that dense fog will be a widespread concern, although certainly some patchy dense fog cannot be ruled out in low- lying/river valley locales. Sfc high pressure will traverse the Great Lakes region through the daytime today, with dry air entrenched across the area. This will yield abundant sunshine, which, in tandem with light NNW flow, will allow temps to top out in the lower to mid 60s by late afternoon. && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/... The sfc high pressure drifts to the E of the region tonight into Saturday, allowing for sfc flow to become more easterly, providing a reinforcing nudge of dry air by Saturday afternoon. For tonight, aside from some cirrus from time-to-time, mostly clear conditions are on tap once again. Low temps will range from the lower 40s in the Tri-State/N KY to the mid/upper 30s in central OH. Cloud cover will be on the increase Saturday ahead of the next weather-maker, which will begin to impact the ILN FA by Saturday night. Highs will range from the upper 50s in the N to the mid 60s in the S, with cloud cover expected to overspread the area from SW to NE by late in the day. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... A low pressure system will be moving northeast out of the Plains towards the Great Lakes on Saturday night into Sunday morning. A warm front associated with the low lifts through the Ohio Valley during this timeframe bringing widespread rainfall. Strong WAA continues into the day on Sunday which will likely allow dew points to reach up near 60 by 3pm. On Sunday evening, a cold front moves through the Ohio Valley bringing an end to widespread rainfall. High pressure tries to build in from the north for Monday and Tuesday. Dry weather and cooler temperatures return. Rain chances increase by the second half of the work week when another low is forecast to form near the Great Lakes. && .AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... High pressure will slowly build into the region tonight, providing clear skies. Some cirrus will traverse the OH Vly periodically during the daytime, but otherwise mostly clear skies are expected to prevail. There could be some river valley BR/FG at KLUK during the predawn hours, leading to some MVFR VSBYs. However, there is still some uncertainty regarding expanse of potential development. Winds will be light from the NW/N at generally 5-7kts or less through the period. OUTLOOK...MVFR conditions will be possible Sunday into Monday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...KC NEAR TERM...KC SHORT TERM...KC LONG TERM...Campbell AVIATION...KC
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Time: Fri 8-Nov-2024 at 03:25 EST (Fri 8-Nov-2024 at 08:25 UTC) | Page Modified: 5/14/2021 6:05:44 PM (PID:20) |