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NWS Wilmington, OH Office (ILN)


Area Forecast Discussion/SKEW-T

          FXUS61 KILN 050715
          AFDILN
          
          Area Forecast Discussion
          National Weather Service Wilmington OH
          215 AM EST Thu Mar 5 2026
          
          .WHAT HAS CHANGED...
          Expanded the dense fog advisory.
          
          &&
          
          .KEY MESSAGES...
          1) Dense fog overnight.
          
          2) More heavy rain and flooding potential into Thursday.
          
          3) Near record temperatures possible Friday.
          
          4) More showers and storms expected on Saturday.
          
          5) An unsettled weather pattern will bring additional precipitation
          chances to the region Monday night through Thursday.
          
          &&
          
          .DISCUSSION...
          KEY MESSAGE 1) Dense fog overnight.
          
          Expanded the dense fog advisory to cover most locations near and
          north of Interstate 70s. Expect conditions to start to improve late
          in the overnight towards daybreak as rain starts to push northward.
          
          KEY MESSAGE 2) More heavy rain and flooding potential into Thursday.
          
          Continued the flood watch. This might have to be expanded northward
          or in time, however after collaboration with surrounding offices, the
          decision was to hold off on any expansion at this time.
          
          KEY MESSAGE 3) Near record temperatures possible Friday.
          
          The current forecast high temperatures for Friday are 75 at DAY, 74
          at CMH, and 76 at CVG. The record high temperatures for the day are
          74 at DAY, 76 at CMH, and 74 at CVG.
          
          KEY MESSAGE 4) More showers and storms expected on Saturday.
          
          More showers and storms are expected on Saturday. There will be the
          potential for additional flooding concerns and also at least isolated
          strong to severe storms.
          
          KEY MESSAGE 5) An unsettled weather pattern will bring additional
          precipitation chances to the region Monday night through Thursday.
          
          Warm conditions will be in place until a strong cold front moves
          through Wednesday into Wednesday night. Precipitation will be in the
          forecast from Monday night through Thursday.
          
          &&
          
          .AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
          VFR to LIFR conditions are currently in place. One round of showers
          and some isolated thunderstorms will continue to move through at the
          start of the TAF period. Another round will start to move through
          late in the overnight and into the day on Thursday. More scattered
          precipitation activity will continue latter in the day on Thursday
          and into Thursday night. Cig and vsbys will be variable during this
          time. Some wind gusts will also be present during the day on
          Thursday.
          
          OUTLOOK...MVFR/IFR conditions will be possible Thursday night into
          Friday morning. MVFR/IFR conditions will likely return on Saturday.
          
          &&
          
          .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
          OH...Flood Watch until 1 PM EST this afternoon for OHZ053>056-060>065-
               070>074-077>080-082.
               Dense Fog Advisory until 5 AM EST early this morning for OHZ026-034-
               035-042>046-051>056-060-061.
          KY...Flood Watch until 1 PM EST this afternoon for KYZ089>093.
          IN...Flood Watch until 1 PM EST this afternoon for INZ050-058-059-066-
               073>075-080.
               Dense Fog Advisory until 5 AM EST early this morning for INZ050-058-
               059.
          
          &&
          
          $$
          
          DISCUSSION...
          AVIATION...
          
          
          
Skew-T

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