NWS Wilmington, OH Office (ILN)


Area Forecast Discussion/SKEW-T

          FXUS61 KILN 080736
          AFDILN
          
          Area Forecast Discussion
          National Weather Service Wilmington OH
          236 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024
          
          .SYNOPSIS...
          Dry weather settles in area wide through Saturday as high
          pressure moves through the Great Lakes region. The next chance
          for rain will arrive Saturday night into Sunday as an area of
          low pressure tracks through the region. Above normal
          temperatures are expected for the foreseeable future.
          
          &&
          
          .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
          Some patchy shallow fog has formed about the area, although none
          of it is particularly cohesive or dense at this point. With the
          maintenance of some very light northerly sfc flow, it is not
          expected that dense fog will be a widespread concern, although
          certainly some patchy dense fog cannot be ruled out in low-
          lying/river valley locales.
          
          Sfc high pressure will traverse the Great Lakes region through
          the daytime today, with dry air entrenched across the area.
          This will yield abundant sunshine, which, in tandem with light
          NNW flow, will allow temps to top out in the lower to mid 60s by
          late afternoon.
          
          &&
          
          .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
          The sfc high pressure drifts to the E of the region tonight into
          Saturday, allowing for sfc flow to become more easterly,
          providing a reinforcing nudge of dry air by Saturday afternoon.
          For tonight, aside from some cirrus from time-to-time, mostly clear
          conditions are on tap once again. Low temps will range from the
          lower 40s in the Tri-State/N KY to the mid/upper 30s in central
          OH.
          
          Cloud cover will be on the increase Saturday ahead of the next
          weather-maker, which will begin to impact the ILN FA by Saturday
          night. Highs will range from the upper 50s in the N to the mid
          60s in the S, with cloud cover expected to overspread the area
          from SW to NE by late in the day.
          
          &&
          
          .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
          A low pressure system will be moving northeast out of the Plains
          towards the Great Lakes on Saturday night into Sunday morning. A
          warm front associated with the low lifts through the Ohio Valley
          during this timeframe bringing widespread rainfall. Strong WAA
          continues into the day on Sunday which will likely allow dew points
          to reach up near 60 by 3pm. On Sunday evening, a cold front moves
          through the Ohio Valley bringing an end to widespread rainfall.
          
          High pressure tries to build in from the north for Monday and
          Tuesday. Dry weather and cooler temperatures return. Rain chances
          increase by the second half of the work week when another low is
          forecast to form near the Great Lakes.
          
          &&
          
          .AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
          High pressure will slowly build into the region tonight,
          providing clear skies. Some cirrus will traverse the OH Vly
          periodically during the daytime, but otherwise mostly clear
          skies are expected to prevail. There could be some river valley
          BR/FG at KLUK during the predawn hours, leading to some MVFR
          VSBYs. However, there is still some uncertainty regarding
          expanse of potential development. Winds will be light from the
          NW/N at generally 5-7kts or less through the period.
          
          OUTLOOK...MVFR conditions will be possible Sunday into Monday.
          
          &&
          
          .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
          OH...None.
          KY...None.
          IN...None.
          
          &&
          
          $$
          
          SYNOPSIS...KC
          NEAR TERM...KC
          SHORT TERM...KC
          LONG TERM...Campbell
          AVIATION...KC
          
          
          
Skew-T

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